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ENGIE Deutschland Zero Carbon-Magazin: ENGIE fordert schnellere Dekarbonisierungsmaßnahmen, Bäume, Fenster, Wald

2nd "Decarbonization Pathway" from ENGIE calls for more speed in decarbonization measures

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18 March 2025

For the second year in a row, ENGIE published its "Decarbonization Pathway for Europe by 2050" at the end of 2024. In it, the company assesses the current status of decarbonization measures in Europe - and calls for more committed action.

 

Focus of the economy is on energy costs

Energy is once again the focus of discussion - particularly with regard to the competitiveness of the European economy. Two trend-setting analyses from the year 2024, written by Enrico Letta and Mario Draghi, underline the central role of this factor. But what conclusions should those responsible draw from this? According to ENGIE, they must now make further efforts to optimize the costs of the energy transition. One tool for this is ENGIE's pragmatic "pathway" with decarbonization measures that ensure that the European net zero target for CO2 is achieved by 2050 - reliably and financially.

 

Europe's goals are achievable

In 2021, the EU adopted the "Fit for 55" target, according to which net greenhouse gas emissions in the EU are to be reduced by at least 55% by 2030. It will probably achieve this target, as the necessary technologies such as solar, wind and e-mobility are already mature. They just need to be rolled out more quickly.
 

Another target, however, is on shaky ground: the European net-zero target for CO2 by 2050. The reason: around 70 percent of the technologies required for a climate-neutral economy have not yet been tested at an industrial level. This applies, for example, to the decarbonization of air and sea transport and heavy industry. Extensive industrial, financial and regulatory uncertainties still need to be removed before these levers can be applied on the path to net zero.

New e-energy for the energy transition

On the one hand, the energy transition in Europe is making noticeable progress. Greenhouse gas emissions were reduced by two percent annually between 2010 and 2020. On the other hand, according to ENGIE's "Net Zero Pathway", Europe still needs to significantly accelerate the turnaround: According to the experts, a reduction in emissions of four percent per year is needed to  the climate neutrality target.

The keys to a successful energy transition are much greater electrification and the activation of all conceivable decarbonization measures, such as the development of green molecules. Through the interaction of green electrons and green molecules, the energy transition can be implemented as cheaply as possible. While some solutions are already mature, others still need to be developed, refined or implemented on a large scale.

 

 

"In the current geopolitical context, Europe must, more than ever, face up to its responsibilities. To remain master of its own destiny, to preserve its sovereignty and competitiveness, it must step up the pace of energy transition. Hence, we must pursue an in-depth transformation of our entire energy system: from production to consumption, from the electron to the molecule, by way of heating and cooling, with flexibility and infrastructures playing a major role. Leveraging European scale will be crucial to this endeavor. Meeting this challenge requires the mobilization and cooperation of all players, both public and private, with whom we share today our firm convictions and solid proposals. As a committed player in the energy transition, ENGIE will fully play its part in this collective effort."

- Catherine MacGregor, CEO of ENGIE

 

The two biggest challenges for the energy transition

With the "Net Zero Pathway", ENGIE is modeling 15 European nations whose energy systems are strongly interconnected and represent more than 85 percent of energy consumption. Based on this analysis, ENGIE defined two dominant challenges for a successful energy transition at the end of 2024.

1st challenge: Flexibility as the core of tomorrow's energy system

A modern and efficient energy system must be flexible in order to respond to variable electricity supply and demand. The fact that sun and wind are not always available means that 5.5 times as much renewable energy capacity needs to be installed. On the other hand, the flexibility of the system needs to be increased by 4.5 times so that the renewable electricity generated can be used at all times.

Various factors and decarbonization measures ensure this necessary flexibility:

  • The development of decarbonized thermal and hydraulic systems and grid-connected battery storage systems
  • Improved demand management through electrolyzers that produce renewable hydrogen, as well as household batteries, electric vehicles, hybrid heat pumps and a reduction in industrial production

2nd challenge: Significant but affordable costs

It is no secret that financing the energy transition requires considerable investment in all areas. This includes in particular:

  • New capacities for the generation of decarbonized energy
  • Infrastructure development
  • Building refurbishment and more efficient heating solutions
  • Electric vehicle fleets and an appropriate charging infrastructure
  • Adaptation of industrial processes

Forecast

In 2050, almost two thirds of flexibility capacities will be on the demand side. This will lead to a comprehensive transformation of the energy system and consumer behavior.

In return, the savings from reduced fossil fuel imports have a positive effect, both financially and through greater energy independence.

If savings and expenditure are compared, the net costs of decarbonization in Europe are calculated. These will amount to around 1.8 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) between 2025 and 2030 and are expected to decrease continuously thereafter: Between 2031 and 2040, ENGIE expects costs to amount to 1.5 percent of GDP, and between 2041 and 2050 they will only amount to one percent. These costs are entirely affordable for the European economies.

Perspective: Experts estimate the macroeconomic costs of political inaction in the face of climate change at around ten percent of GDP per degree of additional global warming.

 

 

ENGIE's "Pathway" calls for action on decarbonization measures

ENGIE's "Decarbonization Pathway" underlines the urgency of faster decarbonization measures in order to achieve the net-zero target by 2050. Despite the costs, the energy transition offers economic opportunities. ENGIE is therefore calling on politicians and businesses to work together to drive forward the transformation.

The most important forecasts and decarbonization measures from ENGIE's "Decarbonization Pathway for Europe by 2050"

Key indicators for achieving net zero
 

  • Reduction in final energy demand by 30 percent, which is decoupled from economic growth (GDP: +1.3 percent per year)
  • Reduce energy dependency (imports of fossil fuels and molecules) by 65 percent
  • Electrification of use and 5.5-fold increase in renewable energy capacity (solar and wind)
  • 4.5-fold increase in flexibility capacity (3/4 of which on the supply side)
  • 45 percent reduction in methane demand
  • 7-fold increase in hydrogen demand (100 percent by 2050), driven by new applications such as aviation, shipping and heavy industry

 

Costs of decarbonization
 

  • Less than 2 percent of GDP by 2050
  • Stable costs of electrical MWh

 

10 bold measures to achieve the European goals

        Cross-sectional task

  1. Introduction of a carbon price floor that increases over time
  2. Optimization of the energy system at European level through increased market integration

    Supply
     
  3. Removal of regulatory bottlenecks for the use of renewable energies and facilitation of trans-European green electricity PPAs/CfDs through access to long-term cross-border transmission rights
  4. Setting targets for decarbonized gases based solely on their carbon intensity

    Demand
     
  5. Boosting large-scale demand for renewable and low-carbon gases in hard-to-deplete sectors
  6. Exploiting the full potential of heat recovery
  7. Targeting renovation efforts at the most inefficient buildings and low-income households

    Flexibility
     
  8. Utilization of both flexibility on the demand side and flexibility on the supply side

    Infrastructure
     
  9. Obligation of infrastructure operators to anticipate grid developments in advance of renewable energies, battery storage systems (BESS) and H2 projects
  10. Facilitate private capital investment in European energy infrastructure to close investment gaps

 

Our Expert

Frank Höpner
Dr. Frank Höpner is a member of the management of ENGIE Deutschland and responsible for strategy. As an expert, he deals, among other things, with energy policy issues pertaining to energy efficiency and climate neutrality.

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